tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post1303842241659088407..comments2024-03-28T10:50:33.234-07:00Comments on Nationals Baseball: Gentley rebuking BozHarperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comBlogger25125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-46673170039768122002015-04-30T21:28:25.216-07:002015-04-30T21:28:25.216-07:00A quibble: Jayson Werth has looked fine. He's ...A quibble: Jayson Werth has looked fine. He's been smacking line drives all over the place (check his batted-ball numbers if you don't believe me), but the BABIP is still hovering around .200. Once it comes up, his other numbers will as wellRyannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-24036286065936309922015-04-30T16:56:03.773-07:002015-04-30T16:56:03.773-07:00The QO is based on top league salaries and is not ...The QO is based on top league salaries and is not tied to a particular player's salary so it will be the same for both. I think the bar for winning the division is not going to be 100 wins, and I still do not see the Mets as vastly better than we thought yet.blovy8https://www.blogger.com/profile/06888192019412533415noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-71933924715564264142015-04-30T14:50:02.179-07:002015-04-30T14:50:02.179-07:00@ChinaEx, ...ah yes, the QO component...that makes...@ChinaEx, ...ah yes, the QO component...that makes sense. Any idea what the difference between the QO to Desmond / ZNN are, or is it established through arbitration? I don't recall what they were both offered before the season. Froggyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05425616684415704428noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-3588173390828399192015-04-30T14:17:19.110-07:002015-04-30T14:17:19.110-07:00@Froggy: The big difference is that ZNN and Desi ...@Froggy: The big difference is that ZNN and Desi will both likely be worth (and turn down) Qualifying Offers. So the Nats can extend a QO and still recoup a compensatory pick for each of those guys. Clippard would just accept the QO, which would be a major overpay for him.Chinatown Expressnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-46425628766200272812015-04-30T13:36:46.269-07:002015-04-30T13:36:46.269-07:00I enjoy reading everybodies comments that post on ...I enjoy reading everybodies comments that post on this blog. I do disagree with znn > stras. I am also positive that Span reads JW's commentsK-Raynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-64196543217485206442015-04-30T12:43:11.454-07:002015-04-30T12:43:11.454-07:00Yea I wouldn't say that you've hurt feelin...Yea I wouldn't say that you've hurt feelings so much as presented your opinions with a certain smugness that rubs the wrong way, especially when those opinions have yet to be validated. I've been specific in my criticisms and don't think they need to be re-hashed. No judgments on character/personality from my end, just the content and presentation of your arguments. I'm sure we'd be rowdy drinking buddies IRLBjd1207https://www.blogger.com/profile/08595153543505790679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-25410002363193539382015-04-30T12:29:03.633-07:002015-04-30T12:29:03.633-07:00With respect to the Clippard for Escobar trade, it...With respect to the Clippard for Escobar trade, it seems like Rizzo is stuck between winning now and still winning in the future. They weren't gonna re-sign Clippard for the money he would demand so they got value out of him by getting a stop gag between now and Turner/Difo in 2 years. Hurts their bullpen now but should help their middle infield for the next two years. Plus it might lessen the pain of Desmond's inevitable departure in FAAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16253142228150952303noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-45289664080889379422015-04-30T12:17:30.957-07:002015-04-30T12:17:30.957-07:00(typo)...essentially doing the same thing(typo)...essentially doing the same thingFroggyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05425616684415704428noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-77412564064049105322015-04-30T12:15:51.978-07:002015-04-30T12:15:51.978-07:00@last Anonymous,
If the Nats don't re-sign (o...@last Anonymous, <br />If the Nats don't re-sign (or trade) Desmond and ZNN, won't they be essentially the same thing? Or am I missing something here?Froggyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05425616684415704428noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-77422766114096173082015-04-30T11:52:50.787-07:002015-04-30T11:52:50.787-07:00We dealt one of the most reliable relievers in Cli...We dealt one of the most reliable relievers in Clippard because we were not going to pay him the big money he would likely command. We traded him to get some value (Yunel) instead of losing him after this season for nothing. We needed to get a decent reliever to take Clippard's place, so we picked up Janssen. That is it. Nothing more to be read into this.<br /><br />Trying to use deep stats and very select time-frame windows (like the first half of last season) to spin it that Janssen might be better than Clippard is ridiculous. He's not. In any way - but we are not going to pay $9mil for Clip.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-37499153363723136162015-04-30T11:18:08.232-07:002015-04-30T11:18:08.232-07:00Re Janssen v Clip, apparently it's the Nats/Ri...Re Janssen v Clip, apparently it's the Nats/Rizzo who think Janssen was better through the first half of last year, not Boz per se. So I think Harper's rebuke should go to the Nats on that issue. Rizzo might have been just trying to spin Boz on that issue of course.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-3863249060817335942015-04-30T10:58:53.566-07:002015-04-30T10:58:53.566-07:00JW: I think you're peachy, even when we disag...JW: I think you're peachy, even when we disagree.Chinatown Expressnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-57085837983483442015-04-30T10:18:09.416-07:002015-04-30T10:18:09.416-07:00Wow, I did not know I was so despised around here....Wow, I did not know I was so despised around here. I'm sorry that I've posted things that have apparently hurt people's feelings to such an extent. I thought we were just arguing about baseball, not anything serious. Still, don't think I ever cherry-picked stats. I did think entering this year NN was a top 10ish pitcher and that Strasburg is fine as long as he isn't your #1 or #2 pitcher for your staff, but that's a far cry from being a back of the rotation pitcher. <br /><br />I formed my opinions without the use of either stat, presented with new information I may be inclined to change my opinion. You should note that DRA isn't predictive, but cFIP is. I'm not sure this changes my opinion that Strasburg is still erratic and is great when his fastball command is there, but less than stellar when it isn't. <br /><br />Well best of luck to you all, no hard feelings from my side. JWLumleyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13359661418378496780noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-70906056788838092802015-04-30T09:52:12.091-07:002015-04-30T09:52:12.091-07:00Posting this out of fear that Lumley won't giv...Posting this out of fear that Lumley won't give you the numbers because they don't support his narrative that Z'nn is a top 10 pitcher and Strasburg is "good for a back of the rotation guy."<br /><br />Baseball prospectus's two new pitcher stat toys are cFIP and DRA. Lower is better.<br /><br />Z'nn cFIP 2012-2014: 95, 95, 84<br />Stras cFIP 2012-2014: 66, 85, 78<br /><br />Z'nn DRA 2012-2014: 4.1, 3.58, 3.35<br />Stras DRA 2012-2014: 3.85, 2.91, 3.86<br /><br />Stras wins 5/6 categories.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-56347393197085516392015-04-30T09:45:39.702-07:002015-04-30T09:45:39.702-07:00The funniest thing about the Boz sermon was his us...The funniest thing about the Boz sermon was his using Earl Weaver's teams as an analogue to pacify jittery Nats fans.<br /><br />You were w-a-a-y too easy on him, Harper.SMnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-26861398769290657772015-04-30T09:20:25.045-07:002015-04-30T09:20:25.045-07:00@Hoo I don't think Treinen is 4A, he's jus...@Hoo I don't think Treinen is 4A, he's just this years Jerry Blevins in that he should never pitch to lefties, like Blevins shouldn't have pitched to righties. Consider this, righties have a .273 wOBA against Treinen, lefties have a .413 wOBA. Basically lefties are Ted Williams against Treinen, righties are Kevin Frandsen. <br /> JWLumleyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13359661418378496780noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-45844296746450435452015-04-30T09:16:41.722-07:002015-04-30T09:16:41.722-07:00Harper, you're in a kind mood, that really was...Harper, you're in a kind mood, that really was a gentle rebuke. The awesomeness here is that I get to pull out DRA for the very first time. Let's take a look at Janssen and Clip. <br /><br />2012 - Clippard 3.88 DRA, Janssen 3.11<br />2013 - Clippard 2.36, Janssen 2.45<br />2014 - Clippard 2.58, Janssen 3.79<br /><br />Well I'm shocked. I haven't seen much critical analysis of DRA yet, but I know Tom Tango said it looked good. Perhaps Janssen really was better than Clippard up to the second half of last year and maybe he wasn't nearly as bad as his ERA would suggest. Still, he's hurt so we won't know anytime soon. <br /><br />Looking up DRA numbers for Nats Starters now. Should be interesting and by interesting I mean awesome. <br /> JWLumleyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13359661418378496780noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-90712898871615023842015-04-30T09:14:37.956-07:002015-04-30T09:14:37.956-07:00In 2013, I found it distressing that Davey stuck w...In 2013, I found it distressing that Davey stuck with Laroche in the middle of the order although he was clearly off most of that season. I don't have any faith that Matt will be more creative or willing to move veterans out of their spot in the lineup. I am happily surprised he's batting Bryce higher than 6th.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-61712466883919237492015-04-30T09:07:45.952-07:002015-04-30T09:07:45.952-07:00I'll settle for a split. Granted, they won...I'll settle for a split. Granted, they won't gain any ground, but they wouldn't lose any ground either which at this point looks more important.Max Davidhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06425423505319440584noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-88017744682531893622015-04-30T09:05:46.983-07:002015-04-30T09:05:46.983-07:00I really believe that a contender that is expected...I really believe that a contender that is expected to win their division can and should put together a cheap pen as they go. Rizzo has done a pretty good job getting different relievers looks, and I feel confident we will have a pen by the end of the year.<br /><br />Also, to all the people wishing for clip(who is the man, I know) you realize Escobar has been a really useful player so far this year, right?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-2140873850120502752015-04-30T08:44:47.162-07:002015-04-30T08:44:47.162-07:00I'm still bewildered by the pen construction. ...I'm still bewildered by the pen construction. Stammen was a surprise blow. But Nats new about CJ's injury struggle. <br /><br />Not sure why Rizzo decided to ride a rookie pen to WS with a green manager. It's telling to me how many Nats relievers are making major league debuts. That is not a pen you expect for a WS contender even if your long reliever goes down. And quite frankly, Roark in pen makes Stammen slighly superflous unless plan was to ride Stammen in 7th. <br /><br />I know, I know reliever are disposable and fungible. But really, tossing Blevins and betting on unproven rookies to play key roles is an odd GM move. Some like Barrett can be key by end of fall. Others like Treinen might be 4A player.Hoonoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-44860121048524476972015-04-30T08:37:58.180-07:002015-04-30T08:37:58.180-07:00Curious to see if there is something up with Zimme...Curious to see if there is something up with Zimmermann. Velocity was up a bit last night, but not quite where you would expect. His first two starts last year were a bit lower than his long-term average and then increased. Though his low point last year is where he was 'up' to last night. Going in the right direction!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-85247052838968866882015-04-30T08:37:44.773-07:002015-04-30T08:37:44.773-07:00Froggy - I wonder is the nosa part of that would d...Froggy - I wonder is the nosa part of that would do the trick<br /><br />Eric - yeah I mean over "not making playoffs" i'll take the WC everytime.Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-58016838123293623582015-04-30T08:28:03.313-07:002015-04-30T08:28:03.313-07:00I think entering the post season by way of a play ...I think entering the post season by way of a play in game isn't the worst way to go...it would be painfully stressful, though.Erichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00678357994045101892noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-24848823758063857832015-04-30T08:25:01.072-07:002015-04-30T08:25:01.072-07:00I just hope Spugglenosa continue their tear. Now i...I just hope Spugglenosa continue their tear. Now if we could just find a good defense SS...Froggyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05425616684415704428noreply@blogger.com