tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post6812618726895112490..comments2024-03-28T10:50:33.234-07:00Comments on Nationals Baseball: I'm boredHarperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-49655008921121556542018-01-08T01:08:45.486-08:002018-01-08T01:08:45.486-08:00Harper. One other quick comment/q. Am I the only o...Harper. One other quick comment/q. Am I the only one that think Lucroy would be a great fit for Nats if they strike out on realmuto? He’s better than Weiters, even the version of him from last year. And I feel like there is a 25-40% chance you get lucky and you sign him at his absolute bottom value and he pops halfway back up to what he was a couple years ago and suddenly you have a moderately priced C who hits .270/.350/.450 and plays ok defense. He’s an ideal guy to grab for a pillow contract of 1-2 years and make Weiters back up and deal severino. BxJaycobbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15841583667789907324noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-55539947058643743282018-01-08T01:04:46.911-08:002018-01-08T01:04:46.911-08:00Although just know that you still need pitching. S...Although just know that you still need pitching. So you’ll have to buy it, not trade for it. I like Alex Cobb. He (Lance Lynn too) make sense for Nats on a 40-50mil 3 year type deal. Maybe money is kinda off there and they’d need more like 4/60.BxJaycobbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15841583667789907324noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-55538708909258600182018-01-08T01:02:20.880-08:002018-01-08T01:02:20.880-08:00Harper,
Yeah. As you mention, the people who think...Harper,<br />Yeah. As you mention, the people who think Yelich (particularly a yelich who has to play CF where he is average to below average) is a comparable return for everybody but Robles/ those who think yelich plus realmuto for every prospect we have including Robles and MAT is fair....are nuts. That’s all I will say. If you want Realmuto, offer Soto and MAT and hand CF to Robles. That will almost certainly get it done. If you want realmuto ANd Yelich, offer Robles and MAT. That also probably does it IMO. And I would support both I think. BxJaycobbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15841583667789907324noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-66891402721814763912018-01-06T12:44:30.972-08:002018-01-06T12:44:30.972-08:00Christian Yelich’ Wikipedia page lists Boston RedS...Christian Yelich’ Wikipedia page lists Boston RedSox 2018- under the “Teams” section. Has anyone heard any news on this? LolHuzzah!https://www.blogger.com/profile/03728993885000677878noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-88793435103944421932018-01-05T20:20:19.730-08:002018-01-05T20:20:19.730-08:00Harper, what would you do about a 5th starter? Try...Harper, what would you do about a 5th starter? Try to make a boffo trade for Chris Archer? Go after a journeyman/wild card like Sean Manaea? Make deals with reclamation projects such as Chris Tillman and others with a Spring Training invitation attached? Or see what A.J. Cole or Eric Fedde can produce and hope Joe Ross can recover in time for the second half of the season? Me, I'd offer Soto, Ross, and Fedde and a pair of decent throw-ins for Archer. Brooklynnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-10200143950830050652018-01-05T11:59:25.566-08:002018-01-05T11:59:25.566-08:00I'd like to see more on how the CBA luxury tax...I'd like to see more on how the CBA luxury tax is affecting off-season bidding-wars. Buster Olney thinks it's putting a damper on mid-market FAs. My sense is that also crimps the market for big-name FAs, such as Arieta. Could this be the year when the price per WAR flattens out?<br /><br />Looking to next year, should the Nats get in a bidding war for Bryce with, say, the Dodgers? if we win, what are the implications for the team's ability to build a supporting cast? Are there likely to be better values for the $30MM+ salary that Harper would command? <br /><br />What are the opportunities this year for a salary dump? Flapjacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-29950047657451436742018-01-05T11:46:27.601-08:002018-01-05T11:46:27.601-08:00@anon 11:13
Nate Silver's explanation of prac...@anon 11:13<br /><br />Nate Silver's explanation of practical statistical application to the world around us is brilliant. Applies as much to baseball as anything else. <br /><br />https://www.amazon.com/Signal-Noise-Many-Predictions-Fail-but/dp/0143125087/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1515180920&sr=8-1&keywords=Nate+silver<br /><br />Specific to baseball (ones I've read, not necessarily the best):<br /><br />Brian Kenny<br /><br />https://www.amazon.com/Ahead-Curve-Inside-Baseball-Revolution/dp/150110635X/ref=sr_1_13?ie=UTF8&qid=1515181094&sr=8-13&keywords=Baseball+analytics<br /><br />Bill James, specifically the Baseball Abstract if you can find it (or them) which is a precursor to modern analytics. The Handbooks are also informative intellectually and easy reads. He has several available books on amazon in the baseball genre which are all interesting.<br /><br />As a book, Moneyball is very good too. It isn't written in the same narrative format as the film, so it'll feel largely new.sircnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-1056724514671101542018-01-05T11:13:55.187-08:002018-01-05T11:13:55.187-08:00OK, I have a training wheels question. Please nam...OK, I have a training wheels question. Please name one or two books good for an intro to looking at baseball from an analytic perspective, but for the beginner (ie, not the "SAS programmer by day" crowd.)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-3650609161072486852018-01-05T08:31:32.363-08:002018-01-05T08:31:32.363-08:00Harper, what's the FA catcher pool look like f...Harper, what's the FA catcher pool look like for 2019? Anything in your opinion look like worth waiting for? Froggyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05425616684415704428noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-50006778403895957372018-01-05T08:24:42.167-08:002018-01-05T08:24:42.167-08:00Is 5 years of Yelich going to be more valuable tha...Is 5 years of Yelich going to be more valuable than 2 years of MAT, and 6 years each from Robles and Soto? It kind of kills the depth and the outfield is the Nats organizational strength.<br /><br />Maybe if they hadn't traded so much pitching depth last year for Eaton. But Eaton's contract is so much more team friendly than Yelich's, and their overall value is very similar. I understand why everyone wants Yelich, but he doesn't improve the Nats very much.<br /><br />I like Realmuto, but he isn't an elite catcher. Couldn't they pry Sal Perez away from the Royals for a similar package? If the Royals are rebuilding, why not go get the best catcher alive? sircnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-53999159449109253292018-01-05T07:32:13.520-08:002018-01-05T07:32:13.520-08:00I really like the idea of Yelich's bat in the ...I really like the idea of Yelich's bat in the middle of the Nats Lineup... and is it just me or does Realmuto seem to really like hitting at Nats Park. <br /><br />If I was running the Nats, I would be offering the fish Robles, Soto, MAT, and another 2 lower level prospects for Realmuto & Yelich if they are also willing to take Wieters contract. If they want nothing to do with Wieters 1 year deal, they can have Soto, MAT, & Severino + the lower tier prospects.<br /><br />Do you think this would be enough to entice them... is it enough to outbid other suitors... is it too much and its a good thing I am not running the Nats? <br /><br />This winter has been super slow... 6 more weeks until spring training.<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-43417417578887282132018-01-05T07:09:53.812-08:002018-01-05T07:09:53.812-08:00Were you happy with The Last Jedi? I guess maybe I...Were you happy with The Last Jedi? I guess maybe I should ask if you like Star Wars and if you've seen it but I'm going to assume based on the age demographic I think you're in that you do and you have.Josh Highamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00524273388243642450noreply@blogger.com