tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post780113538618859144..comments2024-03-18T07:03:39.210-07:00Comments on Nationals Baseball: It's all in the batting average...Harperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-38771939176879170812022-10-10T10:13:48.293-07:002022-10-10T10:13:48.293-07:00gucci replica c17 m2s73t9q69 replica designer bag...<a href="https://www.dolabuy.ru/soft-c-157_158_335/louis-vuitton-replica-designer-m44199-petite-malle-monogram-wholesale-bag-p-4984.html" rel="nofollow"><strong>gucci replica c17</strong></a> m2s73t9q69 <a href="https://www.dolabuy.ru/new-bags-c-157_158_167/replicas-louis-vuitton-buy-marelle-tote-mm-epi-leather-m59953m59952-bag-p-5031.html" rel="nofollow"><strong>replica designer bags wholesale q16</strong></a> l6m38v5z69 <a href="https://www.dolabuy.ru/flap-c-157_190_277/new-100-amazing-designer-as3378-replica-high-quality-fake-bags-p-5333.html" rel="nofollow"><strong>designer replica luggage h79</strong></a> v5u18w2x88shayseahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16166577474920347406noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-15339687202320737452011-02-04T08:41:03.242-08:002011-02-04T08:41:03.242-08:00I seldom leave comments on blog, but I have been t...I seldom leave comments on blog, but I have been to this post which was recommend by my friend, lots of valuable details, thanks again.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-44167003973204330452010-09-17T10:07:09.632-07:002010-09-17T10:07:09.632-07:00Granted though I'm sure the management isn'...Granted though I'm sure the management isn't thinking "we don't need Dunn" because they must know the Nats do but "do we need 2013 Dunn?" That's a different (and important) question.Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-57902847314661923942010-09-16T10:50:44.006-07:002010-09-16T10:50:44.006-07:00Totally agree - that's why I think the folks w...Totally agree - that's why I think the folks who are talking about Crawford (or Werth) are sort of over-thinking a little bit. I think if they just resign Dunn, let Willingham get healthy and go with an Espinosa-Bernadina-Zimm-Dunn-Will-Morse-Desmond-Ramos/Pudge starting 8, that'd be good enough to get to middling to slightly better-than-that. I'm ok if they want to upgrade Morse as an everyday RF, but really, I don't get how there's an argument that says they don't need Dunn.Marcnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-23222591718139476122010-09-16T10:46:04.194-07:002010-09-16T10:46:04.194-07:00Harper: Nats should be slightly better at 2nd and...Harper: Nats should be slightly better at 2nd and SS given due to Desmond's progression and the power at 2nd from anyone. RF is still a question mark and Nats will probably improve hitting at CF.<br /><br />But losing Dunn's power would be huge. I'm not sure that even the addition of more time for Espinosa/Ramos will come close to Dunn's HR total. Nats are also hoping that W'ham at 32 can duplicate the first half of the season. <br /><br />In short, reek might be a bit too strong. But if the Nats go cheap/defense only the offense could be worse next year even with some progression of the youngsters. Maybe they let Dunn walk to pick up solid corner OF so the giant hole is at 1st instead of RF and the rest is small step forward.Hoonoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-26134757559807485812010-09-15T14:22:50.323-07:002010-09-15T14:22:50.323-07:00Well it's a little unfair to extrapolate Desmo...Well it's a little unfair to extrapolate Desmond to catcher - but point made. The thing fans should understand about this offense is carried three holes in the lineup - you can't overcome that unless the rest of your lineup is all good and mostly awesome (see Milwuakee). The Nats have 3 stars right now, and should be ok just by closing those holes with average play. If they lose a star though - that's that much more offense they need to find.Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-29852378310742525962010-09-15T09:44:27.043-07:002010-09-15T09:44:27.043-07:00One last thought on the upgrade from the old fossi...One last thought on the upgrade from the old fossils and then I'll leave it alone - if Bernadina and Desmond had as many PAs as the Kennedy, Guzman, Pudge and Nyjer show this year, they'd have combined for 36 HRs and 78 2b's, projecting out from their current rates, as compared to 8 and 59 from the current group.Marcnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-53912874684949473372010-09-15T09:40:41.768-07:002010-09-15T09:40:41.768-07:00Harper - interesting point. To me, this is why th...Harper - interesting point. To me, this is why the defensive side of the equation is so important. If Ramos, Desmond and Bernadina are our "up the middle" future, I'm ok with below average power - C, SS, and CF aren't traditional "power" spots. I don't know if you looked at it, but I'll bet isoSLG and isoOBP is quite a bit less among those three positions than they are league-wide. If they're playing +UZR or better defense, then I'm not worried that they're a bit lower than league-wide average on isoSLG. Not sure if it's fair to expect them to morph into a middle-of-the-lineup power threat. If they do, then so much the better - if Bernadina becomes a poor man's healthy Beltran, and Desmond becomes a young Tejada then great, but I'd take a .750 BA-heavy OPS, and 12-15 HRs if I get plus CF and SS defense in the bargain.<br /><br />More importantly, and you allude to it, but don't really touch on it here, this shouldn't be a comparison in a vacuum. Bernadina, Espinosa, Ramos and Desmond will be a significant increase from Pudge, Guz, Kennedy and Nyjer. That gang combined for an isoSLG of .073 this year thus far. That's isoSLG, not OBP - there are your Singley Joes. Bernadina and Desmond have provided 12 more HRs and 16 less doubles in 55% of the PAs that the waterbug crew had. If Ramos, Desmond, Espinosa and Bernadina can all be 10-15HR/20-25 2B guys, that's probably a major step up, positionally - IF the defense doesn't decline. Though I think you're right that it is somewhat BA dependent, I actually think the young four will be significantly less BA dependent than the old four - especially if, like Luke Skywalker, they can learn patience.<br /><br />Still, not enough to offset the loss of Dunn, of course, but a step in the right direction. As I said last week - I don't know how anybody can look at this club's offensive production this year and say "Sure, we don't need Dunn."Marcnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-21544977237395125742010-09-15T08:17:49.747-07:002010-09-15T08:17:49.747-07:00I'm not 100% sure - from what I've heard -...I'm not 100% sure - from what I've heard - yes isoSLG can go up because power is generally the last thing to develop. isoOBP might be a catch-22 situation, if you are able to improve it you are able to stick around the majors, if not you don't but I'm not sure how it translates from one to another. <br /><br />I do know that minor-league patience and contact (walks and Ks) are good indicators of future success. For example Dunn walked a ton, Zimm was a tough K.Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-17131381525257997422010-09-15T07:18:57.372-07:002010-09-15T07:18:57.372-07:00Harper: Thanks for a useful discussion.
One que...Harper: Thanks for a useful discussion. <br /><br />One question and one comment: do you know how minor-league isoOBP and isoSLG compare to major-league numbers for most players? I wouldn't be surprised if both increased in the majors, as bodies fill out and players develop patience, as you said. <br /><br />I'm pretty familiar with many of the FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference advanced stats, but it would be useful to define them at the start of the article -- to bring us up to your level of knowledge.<br /><br />Thanks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-7304083407268044762010-09-14T12:09:36.007-07:002010-09-14T12:09:36.007-07:00"reek" is going a bit too far. If they ..."reek" is going a bit too far. If they don't resign Dunn (and don't sign someone good in his place) it's likely going to remain the same. That's not good - but I think it's a bit above reeking. The Nats got awful offensive play from C, CF, and 2B this year where next year you'd hope they'd get something closer to average. Desmond might improve, WIllingham might be able to give you a whole season. <br /><br />But losing Dunn (without something comparable being brought in) would end hopes of a decent year. You can't be 10-14 in runs scored and hope to be .500 (of you can with some luck and outstanding pitching but you don't want to rely on that)Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-33638323448296473092010-09-14T08:59:30.435-07:002010-09-14T08:59:30.435-07:00Harper: Good stuff all around on why letting Dunn...Harper: Good stuff all around on why letting Dunn walk is unfortunate. Nats don't have anyone close to supplying his pop. I am happy about seeing Dez/Espinosa getting more full-time gigs but the Nats offense will reek with no Dunn unless Nats make their big move on a corner OF. Then any pop out of the Dutchman is a positive.Hoonoreply@blogger.com