tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post8945807546668838724..comments2024-03-28T10:50:33.234-07:00Comments on Nationals Baseball: One more big contractHarperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-8203776450554913562015-02-06T15:34:00.330-08:002015-02-06T15:34:00.330-08:00We are going to find out.
=)We are going to find out. <br /><br />=)sircnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-12152455348922426692015-02-06T13:39:11.613-08:002015-02-06T13:39:11.613-08:00I dunno, Jose Reyes was the last big free agent SS...I dunno, Jose Reyes was the last big free agent SS I can think of, and he was coming off a monster year and was only 28. It depends on how early a guy establishes himself, Desmond took a long time in the minors. Reyes only got 6/106 with another option year which likely won't have to happen. Even though he was certainly less durable to that point, I'd argue he was a younger, better player than Desmond at the end of 2011. I don't think you're looking at more than five years to sign Desi, annd it's quite possible that people will look at Hanley's deal as a comparison even though you'd never want him playing SS again.blovy8https://www.blogger.com/profile/06888192019412533415noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-81376338451431727662015-02-06T09:32:47.757-08:002015-02-06T09:32:47.757-08:00@KO said: "Desi will be cheaper just because ...@KO said: "Desi will be cheaper just because teams are willing to pay for pitching now."<br /><br />A guy like Ian hasn't been on the free agent market recently. Guys like Ian don't reach free agency at 30 anymore.<br /><br />I think that next offseason Desmond will sign for at least the same or possibly higher average than ZNN. I'm basing this on what Sandoval(19 mill per) and Ramirez (22 per) got this season, and the fact that Ian is a shortstop. 25 per season is likely, but only if he goes to free agency. <br /><br />In fact, I would bet real cash money that Ian gets 25 per at least. He has no competition and almost every uber rich team has a serious need at his position. ZNN has a huge amount of competition next year and there are always pitchers who linger into February because their market never develops, or they end up taking less in order to avoid that fate.<br /><br />Plus Ian is a position player. Despite what the Nats spent on Scherzer, most of baseball still views signing pitchers to large contracts that go through their mid 30s as foolish. That perception isn't the same with everyday players. <br /><br />If Ian can be had for 6/100-125 mill then half the teams in baseball will be lining up. But that won't be the number. It'll be 7/175 or more. Yankees, Dodgers, Angels, Mets, Cubs, Phillies. Nats?<br /><br />He's a shortstop with power and almost no injury history who is entering free agency at age 30. 7/175 might be conservative. sircnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-19124925874870661212015-02-05T16:20:55.384-08:002015-02-05T16:20:55.384-08:00Desi will be cheaper just because teams are willin...Desi will be cheaper just because teams are willing to pay for pitching now. I'd imagine Desi would get a deal around what Tulo got last year, maybe a bit higher or lower depending on this year, but around $20m/yr. Znn will probably get something closer to Lester money, $25+m/yr.KOnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-27977011149700007982015-02-05T15:45:45.775-08:002015-02-05T15:45:45.775-08:00Why is it certain that Desmond costs less than Znn...Why is it certain that Desmond costs less than Znn?<br /><br />I'd probably wait for Shields to sign and offer a similar deal to Fister, if for no other reason than I believe both Znn and Stras want to go through the free agency process and I'm not sure that Fister does.<br /><br />A bird in hand and all that.sircnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-79722511369653657982015-02-05T15:42:04.271-08:002015-02-05T15:42:04.271-08:00Trade Stras. Kills me, but it's probably the ...Trade Stras. Kills me, but it's probably the best move post Scherzer.Zimmerman11https://www.blogger.com/profile/14524103974207323535noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-74811408247626302002015-02-05T10:48:32.027-08:002015-02-05T10:48:32.027-08:00I'd resign Stras and Desi if it's two of t...I'd resign Stras and Desi if it's two of the big three. Stras is still very young and hasn't hit a peak at all and has been surprisingly consistent considering public opinion, but he's also able to lead the rotation unlike Fister. Then you sign Desi since there isn't really a minor leaguer ready to take his spot anytime soon. Turner is a couple years out, Difo could play there but is still very young, and even those two aren't that highly regarded amongst prospect so it's still hit or miss. Also, if Desi has another year like this past year where he has the power but the BA isn't there, his price could drop to a reasonable amount. Regardless, resiging Desi will be cheaper than Znn, and worst comes to worse, he moves over to 2b and will never be worse than Espy.KOnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-54456046982880977612015-02-05T10:25:23.278-08:002015-02-05T10:25:23.278-08:00Personally, I'd re - sign Fister and here'...Personally, I'd re - sign Fister and here's why: Fister is good. But what's more than that he's consistent. Sure, he seems to always outperform his peripherals, but he'll probably be cheap because of that (relatively speaking). Then the Nats will have a rotation of Scherzer, Strasburg, Fister, Gonzalez and Roark/Giolito in 16, with Fedde or Lopez joining the rotation in 17. Fister will also probably command a shorter deal which means flexibility and more leeway to re-sign Bryce and Rendon. But the biggest thing for Fister as compared to NN and Stras is no TJ. Not to mention he's a very athletic guy so I'd expect him to age better than most. Is let Desi walk because it'll cost too much to keep him and I think he's anything, but a sure bet. JWLumleyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13359661418378496780noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-78784992979904110162015-02-05T10:12:39.694-08:002015-02-05T10:12:39.694-08:00A rotation of Scherzer, Stras, Gio, Cole, Roark w/...A rotation of Scherzer, Stras, Gio, Cole, Roark w/Giolito as 6th would still be highly competitive for 2016, assuming the goal is to resign Stras and not JZ. They gotta sign one of them though.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-29109096389328994092015-02-05T09:57:55.945-08:002015-02-05T09:57:55.945-08:00I don't think even LAD or NYY have three SPs m...I don't think even LAD or NYY have three SPs making over $20m under long term deals. Not sure its a smart way to allocate payroll.<br /><br />I think two premier SPs is a sign of a committed ownership group. But I question whether they can get Stras to extend, and I don't think they see JZ holding his 2014 level of performance (or said differently, worth Lester money). I'd love to see Stras extended, but I just don't think it happens.<br /><br />Better off extending Rendon or Harper (in addition to the minor extension that Ramos should get, since the fall off to Lobo-cop is pretty far).Wallynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-35374177439187732192015-02-05T09:28:34.625-08:002015-02-05T09:28:34.625-08:00@cass - Eh almost with you. But I want Desi over J...@cass - Eh almost with you. But I want Desi over JZ after seeing the talent at the top of our system.<br /><br />Extend Stras, Extend Des, Promote GiolitoBjd1207https://www.blogger.com/profile/08595153543505790679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-39363945369860297852015-02-05T09:20:42.739-08:002015-02-05T09:20:42.739-08:00My idea for how to manage 2016:
Extend Strasburg....My idea for how to manage 2016:<br /><br />Extend Strasburg. Extend Zimmermann. Let Fister go. Promote Giolito.<br /><br />Temp solution for MI until Turner is ready. (Or extend Desi which I'd prefer but JZ and Stras are surer bets.)cassnoreply@blogger.com