tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post6360283151950812820..comments2024-03-28T10:50:33.234-07:00Comments on Nationals Baseball: Quick Notes on BryceHarperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comBlogger17125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-84976365410429835772015-11-20T20:32:40.183-08:002015-11-20T20:32:40.183-08:00I'm about to graduate in December with a suppl...I'm about to graduate in December with a supply chain management degree. Applying to different companies got 3 I'm talking to, no offers as of yet. <br /><br />Any suggestions? Dr Trea (formerly #werthquake) https://www.blogger.com/profile/07450504942328972974noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-86057740469514909852015-11-20T13:51:24.395-08:002015-11-20T13:51:24.395-08:00Robot - I see Real Steel in this is the blogs futu...Robot - I see Real Steel in this is the blogs future. Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-308012845117941282015-11-20T12:10:26.917-08:002015-11-20T12:10:26.917-08:00Harper, for your podcast, dig up some info on our ...Harper, for your podcast, dig up some info on our new team doctors... this could be a BIG improvement over the last few years!!!Zimmerman11https://www.blogger.com/profile/14524103974207323535noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-52826847727741054852015-11-20T12:09:58.006-08:002015-11-20T12:09:58.006-08:00@Anon 10:59 - I AM THE ONLY ROBOT ALLOWED TO POST ...@Anon 10:59 - I AM THE ONLY ROBOT ALLOWED TO POST ON THIS BLOG!!!!!Robotnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-91843257195610541822015-11-20T11:48:01.857-08:002015-11-20T11:48:01.857-08:00Kris Bryant is baseball's new "young"...Kris Bryant is baseball's new "young" star. He's 10 months older than Bryce. Michael Taylor is a "young" guy on the Nats, still trying to figure things out. He's year and half older than Bryce. Yes, Correa is younger than Bryce, but he made his MLB at a year older than Bryce did. We forget how young Bryce still is.<br /><br />Pay the man, err, the kid!KWnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-12206471254084278912015-11-20T11:31:25.758-08:002015-11-20T11:31:25.758-08:00I would be a very happy man, if in my old age, I c...I would be a very happy man, if in my old age, I could see two names synonymous with DC baseball. <br /><br />Mr Howard and Mr Harper. <br /><br />Make him our version of Cal and Tony Gwynn. Pay him now, pay him to be the face of the Nats for the next 50 years. 500 million for 50 years of DC face-time?<br /><br />No brainer.Mythrahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12640334476376047192noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-72242919242670494092015-11-20T10:59:28.795-08:002015-11-20T10:59:28.795-08:00It’s hard to imagine guaranteeing $500m to a guy w...It’s hard to imagine guaranteeing $500m to a guy with one season like this behind him, even if it’s one of the 60 best seasons ever. But this seems like the guy. I don’t know how you sell your bosses on tying up $40m a year on one guy, but figure it out, Rizzo. I think the chances of this happening aren’t zero, because I do think the Lerners are aware of how their ownership of the team is viewed and the legacy they’re creating, and if the scuttlebutt is true, Boras sold them on Scherzer in some part on the notion they could creating a national brand for the team, like the Yanks or Sox or Cards. If Harper pans out like this, he’s going to be a national brand in someone’s uniform and he’s going to help his team in that way. <br /><br />This may be in the MORE ON BRYCE discussion, but we seem to think it’s likely he doesn’t flame out immediately and it’s likely he doesn’t become the best ever. Is there a good way to quantify the in-between chances? Do guys with the health issues he’d had that early often move on from them? Who has had several good seasons at a young age and bottomed out early?<br /><br />You touched on it a bit with Dusty, but is there grounds to think that his approach changed in Cincinnati from what he had done before, that might have merited criticism? If it did change, should he have changed it? I’m of the school that thinks that, given that they wanted someone established, they’re lucky a guy with his credentials was willing to wait around. <br /><br />Here’s another topic, brought on by the approaching season of the year. You’re one of the best writers I can find for getting advanced stats to tell a story, like what does it mean to be lucky? What do the stats tell us about why so-and-so is on a cold streak- can they fix it, or is it an impending sign of age/bad technique/something else? What did/do you read to help you with this?<br /><br />Signed, a robot from the mountains<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-59204332746608089702015-11-20T10:45:46.276-08:002015-11-20T10:45:46.276-08:00I still think Bryce's biggest concern is winni...I still think Bryce's biggest concern is winning. He knows he's going to get huge piles of money no matter where he goes and while the possibility of receiving the biggest contract in baseball history is probably alluring, I get the impression he would settle for something less (perhaps merely the second biggest contract in history) to go to a team that looks like it will get him the most rings.<br /><br />Having never met the guy, I may be entirely off-base, but that's my take on him. Robotnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-52240978368820486262015-11-20T10:40:21.348-08:002015-11-20T10:40:21.348-08:0015/500 sounds good to me, but I don't think he...15/500 sounds good to me, but I don't think he'll sign. He'll insist on a contract with an opt out I imagine so he can both double dip and have security. He's good enough to demand and get that.<br /><br />If he was a different person, he might just sign to avoid the risk of injuries destroying his value, but this is Bryce we're talking about. <br /><br />His comments last night didn't sound very promising. Sounds like someone who wants to play here till he's a free agent and then test the waters - i.e. wait for the largest tsunami of cash ever seen in sports to come his way.cassnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-50713453283199547282015-11-20T10:28:53.791-08:002015-11-20T10:28:53.791-08:00@ Harper, you lie... you want Bryce in pinstripes,...@ Harper, you lie... you want Bryce in pinstripes, even if it means the end of your blog.Zimmerman11https://www.blogger.com/profile/14524103974207323535noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-66304494754293923742015-11-20T10:04:03.044-08:002015-11-20T10:04:03.044-08:00Dammit Robot - stop getting in my points while I&#...Dammit Robot - stop getting in my points while I'm typing them up. Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-48151787549590660122015-11-20T10:03:34.154-08:002015-11-20T10:03:34.154-08:00Kenny B - He will be the new Walter Johnson (all a...Kenny B - He will be the new Walter Johnson (all apologies to Ryan "Sam Rice" Zimmermman) <br /><br />Anon - that big? No. I think negotiations in this off-season will be of the exploratory nature - see what he is looking for. I think they will wait a year because an off 2016 could work in their advantage and a great 2016 does little to change Bryce's value. (unless he does something like flirt with .400 and hit 50+HR). After 2016 I think they will make a fair offer - which will be huge mind you - let's say 10/350 w/ opt out in 5 years. That's my guess. And I'd say he'd decline that because he can do better. This all assumes a 2016 similar to 2015. <br /><br />BornidDC - and let's not forget it's not all production. It's merchandise. It's marketing. It's having a draw. It's potentially chasing records. There's money he earns that's not part of that 73 mill. <br /><br />goodman - eh corked bats have been shown to have no real physical effects. If it did help him it was a mental thing. Corked it, started well, assumed it was corked bat and just kept on going. Still, I think Norm Cash isn't even a reasonable floor of what we think Bryce can be. (though I'd sign up for his longevity right now) Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-31549695883921197742015-11-20T10:02:13.337-08:002015-11-20T10:02:13.337-08:00@KennyB - And make sure those dump trucks are made...@KennyB - And make sure those dump trucks are made of solid gold.<br /><br /><br />Seriously, keeping Bryce needs to be the Nationals' #1 priority, period. Between the fans/attention he brings to the team and the amazing performance on field, he is easily worth 13/$500M. This doesn't even factor in the disillusionment many fans will feel if they let him walk. <br /><br />He could be to future Washingtonians what Walter Johnson is to us today. <br /><br />Make it happen, Lerners. Make him "our" guy.Robotnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-18938790424730309122015-11-20T09:40:41.093-08:002015-11-20T09:40:41.093-08:00Norm Cash also corked his bat during his outlier 1...Norm Cash also corked his bat during his outlier 1961 (post-expansion) season, which he would later detail in SI. Can we agree to ignore that season in our review of the fantastic company Bryce is in.goodman.dlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10070276378311938150noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-43511887115345146062015-11-20T09:33:45.297-08:002015-11-20T09:33:45.297-08:00538 had an article this estimating Bryce's wo...538 had an article this estimating Bryce's worth to the Nats in 2015 at $73 million:<br /><br />http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bryce-harper-nl-mvp-mlb/<br /><br />Sure, Bryce could get hurt. But the Nats could easily spend $500 million on free agents during the next 13 years and not get a fraction of the production they might get from Bryce.<br /><br /><br />BornInDCnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-18044992922508252072015-11-20T08:59:22.281-08:002015-11-20T08:59:22.281-08:00You keep suggesting that the Nats throw such a hug...You keep suggesting that the Nats throw such a huge contract at Bryce, an idea I'm all on board with, but do you actually think that will happen? Do you see any contract negotiations going on with the MVP this winter?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-29069164600053714262015-11-20T08:53:33.675-08:002015-11-20T08:53:33.675-08:00Yeah, but he's a cocky prima donna who needs t...Yeah, but he's a cocky prima donna who needs to put in his time before he can have the right to...<br /><br />You know what, even as sarcasm I can't bring myself to finish that sentence. PAY THE MAN WITH DUMP TRUCKS FULL OF MONEY. We may never actually win a world series owing to the DC sports curse, but we can at least have a defining player that everyone will remember and identify with the team. Kenny B.https://www.blogger.com/profile/01104648417209196641noreply@blogger.com