tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post7689404839412715643..comments2024-03-28T10:50:33.234-07:00Comments on Nationals Baseball: Friday Free for AllHarperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-43746100238726170552013-04-27T00:43:14.303-07:002013-04-27T00:43:14.303-07:00Aw, this was an exceptionally good post. Finding t...Aw, this was an exceptionally good post. Finding the time and actual effort to <br />produce a very good article… but what can I say… I hesitate a lot and don't manage to get nearly anything done.<br /><br />Here is my homepage :: <a href="http://robhasawiki.com/index.php?title=User:ElliotELF" rel="nofollow">cheap dumbbell sets</a>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-54316475603011456422013-04-26T23:10:51.577-07:002013-04-26T23:10:51.577-07:00Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog a...Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I have truly enjoyed browsing <br />your blog posts. In any case I will be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again very soon!<br /><br /><br />My web-site :: <a href="http://140.118.155.195/~kito/mediawiki-1.16.0/index.php?title=User:LincolnMo" rel="nofollow">fleas advantage multi</a>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-79058988325113626422013-04-05T16:08:55.994-07:002013-04-05T16:08:55.994-07:00I'm going directly against you on this series,...I'm going directly against you on this series, Harp. Haren, the ultimate professional, comes up big in game one and gives up one run, just to show the kids how it's done. Nats win. Ross loses in a close game -- actually, a no-decision, the bullpen will finally give up a couple of runs. Game three, Stras won't leave until he knows he's defeated the enemy, Cueto, and threatens to throw some high heat directly at Davey. Bryce and Desi will punch three across by the seventh to allow him to leave after only 91 pitches (seven innings). <br /><br />We'll see.<br /><br />On another point, you have a great blog, but it's impossible to access for anyone who's unfamiliar with it. Google is useless. The only way I found it was through ESPN. I only mention it because I know a lot of people like me are getting a little tired of all the sycophants in the Post's sports section, and ESPECIALLY in the comments section.<br /><br />Okay, game on. Sorry to ramble...<br />Greghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13051697455272764040noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-22442248797217172052013-04-05T11:47:37.526-07:002013-04-05T11:47:37.526-07:00Thanks for the PitchF/X analysis. Very interestin...Thanks for the PitchF/X analysis. Very interesting stuff. I hope that's a regular part of the discussion going forward. Nerdy fantastic.JonQuestnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-61711109063241014152013-04-05T09:29:40.428-07:002013-04-05T09:29:40.428-07:00I like Chris Young as a 6th starter insurance poli...I like Chris Young as a 6th starter insurance policy for high-risk Haren, that's for sure. Wouldn't have been as excited if we started the year with him as our 5th starter, but it's better to have two shots at getting something decent out of that spot than nothing.<br /><br />Yeah, I know Detwiler is slotted in 5th, but I consider him our 4th starter. At least until Haren magically transforms back into his old self.cassnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-23198132020646007882013-04-05T09:09:38.282-07:002013-04-05T09:09:38.282-07:00But Gio is a huge strikeout guy (9+ K/9) and Jax h...But Gio is a huge strikeout guy (9+ K/9) and Jax had over two more K/9 than Ross last year as well. GB guys they might be, but they also generated a lot of outs that didn't depend on the defense.<br /><br />So the remark about the quality of the defense, I think, still holds. I don't think Ross is "really" a 3.50 ERA pitcher taken for an average team in an average environment, but for this specific Nationals team the result may be expected to be better than FIP would indicate due to good defense everywhere on the field + high proportion of balls in play.DezoPenguinnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-5822032591912490472013-04-05T08:49:32.431-07:002013-04-05T08:49:32.431-07:00Matt - true but looking at the other GB guys last ...Matt - true but looking at the other GB guys last year (Edwin and Gio) we don't see what we do for Det. <br /><br />Erich - Yes - great baseball. We got one game of that. Luckily you don't need great baseball to beat the Marlins. 1/2 a great game will do. <br /><br />cass- yeah and while it seems that their are great pitchers that can control their hit prevention I don't think Det is that type. With the wider spread of BABIP compared to LOB%, I expect to see a little less overall luck this year. Still, do you complain about a #5 with a 4.00 ERA? <br /><br />I like Chris Young alot. Always have. Mostly have been proven wrong. Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-32727277623338223292013-04-05T08:05:33.734-07:002013-04-05T08:05:33.734-07:00Detwiler became a groundball pitchers last year (G...Detwiler became a groundball pitchers last year (GB% > 50%) and this team has good infield defense, so you'd expect that to help on the balls in play. We'll see. <br /><br />With the new-and-improved fWAR (IFFBs = Ks). Detwiler's RA9-Wins beat his WAR by half a win, though that was through great BIP-Wins and not-so-great LOB-Wins. So maybe he got a little lucky (.263 BABIP) but also a little unluckly (70.8% LOB). <br /><br />We'll see, but with this team's fielding, I feel pretty good about his prospects.<br /><br />I'm worried about Haren being worse than EJax or possibly injured, but I'm glad we got Chris Young back.cassnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-14792793031557969212013-04-05T08:03:42.192-07:002013-04-05T08:03:42.192-07:00Great post. Looking forward to the Cincy series a...Great post. Looking forward to the Cincy series as a way to see how this team does stack up. But then again, it's early. All I want now is some great baseball and the hope that when I look at the standings at the end of May, the team hasn't (somehow) buried themselves.Erichhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09768182390055184365noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-78562912591218695802013-04-05T07:59:37.402-07:002013-04-05T07:59:37.402-07:00Small point on Detweiler: FIP assumes average defe...Small point on Detweiler: FIP assumes average defense. The Nats defense is almost certainly above average, so you expect Nats' pitchers in general to outperform FIP. Maybe not by half a run though.Mattnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-48040720084734352842013-04-05T07:48:02.414-07:002013-04-05T07:48:02.414-07:00Hoo - I have a feeling this series will be won by ...Hoo - I have a feeling this series will be won by whichever bottom of the lineup wakes up first. You have to like the Nats chances there. Hanigan and Cozart might wake up and we'd never know it. <br /><br />vdub - It's so early in the season that one good swing can make a point moot. I'll be glad in a month or so when we can start making more definitive statements. Early season is stat death. You live on data and you have so little that matters. Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-17209089198820832102013-04-05T07:39:32.710-07:002013-04-05T07:39:32.710-07:00One little 3-run homer was enough for you to omit ...One little 3-run homer was enough for you to omit discussing our offensive keyhole? Man this Nats team is a tough out, even for our friendly neighborhood blogger. =)<br />-vdubAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9207681.post-70327933649062128122013-04-05T07:26:35.976-07:002013-04-05T07:26:35.976-07:00Fantastic post and thanks much for the work. I be...Fantastic post and thanks much for the work. I believe Dett will continue to improve and will add more data to the fact that Ross will be more than a solid 4 or 5. I think he'll be a 4 who stays a 5. <br /><br /><br />Nats are at least as cold as Cincy below the 4 spot. LaRoche has gotten good wood and will be fine. Espi is not getting good wood. He's taking less pitches than Desmond! Not the start we were hoping to see from the rebuild Nosa. He's the main concern for me as I think Werth can be fine at #2 by taking plenty of pitches and having some occasional popHoonoreply@blogger.com