I was going to tear Boz apart for the nonsense he spouted during his chat but that didn't seem appropriate today. The win last night was so crazy and wild and desperately needed that it felt like a playoff victory. Why bring the mood down?
Wins like last night are tough on us soulless automatons because I know what's coming the minute the last out is made. Stories and tweets and comments about how this is a season-changing event, about how the Nats are going to turn around the year because of the magic of a game like last night. In other words classic narratives that are at best unprovable and at worst complete malarkey. It's the way our minds think. There is a big event. Things happen after it. Therefore the big event was the trigger. Was it really? Don't you remember all the times you said/thought something similar and it proved to be nothing? Who cares!
Usually then I kind of hope for a few losses to wash that nonsense out of our systems but the Nats really can't afford a few losses right now, so I'll just have to suck it up. The Nats will very likely go on a nice run now. I wouldn't be surprised if they were at .500 by game 40. But it's not because of one win. It's because they are a very good team who you expect to win more than they lose.
The most important thing was the win. This is why we were worried and not panicking. Today the Nats are 7 games out, a point where I'd still favor the Nats to take the NL East. Not by much, but by something. And that points out something else - when you had the Nats winning the East at the beginning of the year it wasn't a YES/NO type thing, it was a percentage thing. Let's say 95% certainty. This slow start has knocked it down a lot, let's say 60%. 60% is pretty good though! And if we pass that personal midpoint I mentioned yesterday? All that means is the odds drop below 50% for you but 45%? 40%? Those aren't bad odds. Barring a second 20 games like the first, the Nats are in the NL East hunt for a while. Maybe not as favorites if things don't swing back soon, but in there.
So even panic wouldn't be PANIC!!!, not this early in the season, not unless the Nats are drifting 12, 13 games or more behind the leader.