Presumed Plan :
Luis Garcia plays second base. Some FA pick-up and/or Nunez back him up, similar to 2025.
Reasoning behind Presumed Plan :
Arguably every IF position but SS including catcher and both starting and relief pitching are bigger issues than what's going on at second base. There is no reason for the Nats to make a change for likely minimal gain.
My Take :
There are some interesting ideas on what to do with Luis with Nunez having his hot finish and Abrams' inability to field SS holding down an otherwise good player. Moving Luis to first and Abrams to second so Nunez (an actual good fielder) might make sense. A .252 / .289 / .412 16 homer line for a first baseman would probably put him at about the same 20-25 range he sits now. The big difference is while at 2nd best he's about 3 wins worse than the 3rd or 4th best 2B despite being 15+ ranks below them, at 1B he'd likely be 4-5 wins worse. Not THAT much worse but you'd probably HAVE to get that offensive improvement you'd hope to see. And we assume shifting two guys to easier positions would hide their glove issues but they are still playing new positions. It's a gamble. Might be worth it if the Nats commit to fixing the pitching in the off-season, but if not it's more shifting deck chairs.
I think the general idea with Luis is you try to get his head focused on hitting and fielding better with the new regime, who he might gel with, and then you evaluate if you want to keep him around. At only 26 next year there's still a chance he becomes a better player and I'm interested to see what another group can do with him, having seen Robles, a similar question mark, blossom in his limited time away from Rizzo and Davey. Plus a better 2B would likely get you more back than a 1B with the same stats.
Let Garcia keep being not a big problem and maybe he surprises.
5 comments:
Garcia is the poster child for the question: was the most egregious Rizzo/Martinez deficiency in player selection or player development? So many of our players regress that I am hopeful that it is development and the new crew can make an immediate difference.
Agreed! I don't trust Luis to buckle down and get at it in the off season. I think we need to move on, or have him on the bench.
I'd like to give him another season to see what he can do. Garcia could improve a bit with the new regime, there was always a disconnect between him and Davey.
Yes, there are more pressing problems. BUT there's a simple solution -- move Abrams to 2B where he should be at least a good fielder and a good hitter. Move Nunez to short where he's a great fielder and... well someone's gotta hit 9th. And then you only have to solve a 1B problem, which is really easy if you have a checkbook. I still think it's ludicrous to not put Wood at 1B when he can probably do the job really well, he hits really well, and we have plenty of outfielders.
Before you start touting Victor Robles's awakening in Seattle as a ringing indictment of the Nats player development, beware of Austin Voth syndrome. Robles had a great 77 game run with Seattle after getting cut loose in 2024. But in 2025 he kinda went back to being Victor Robles. 77 OPS+. 75 wRC+. -0.2 by both fWAR and bWAR. His BB% cratered, his K% spiked, and then he got hurt. I'm rooting for VR, but 2026 is going to be an important year for him.
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