I've updated the national media prediction page. The current tallies (which includes ESPN's ridiculous 43 staff predictions); 26 of 61 picks to win the World Series, 53 of 58 picks to win the NL East, and no playoff misses. To put that in percentage form, that's :
- 100% chance of being in the playoffs
- 91% chance of winning the NL East
- 43% chance of winning it all
Our own crowd sourced record comes in at 97-65, and a sweep of division titles. If anyone who didn't guess on Friday wants to add their guess in the comments below, go right ahead and I'll update the number at COB.
For those looking for something more statsy - Natsradamus projects the Nats to have 98 wins.
It's a pretty easy month for the Nats. They play 16 of 27 games at home and they only have one road swing expected to be tough (this weekend vs the Reds) until the very end of the month. They also have a couple of off days sitting in the middle of the month. The end could be an issue as they'll have played 10 in a row before rolling into Atlanta, but it's early in the year and they haven't done any West Coast travels so I expect they'll be fine.
I have them sweeping the Marlins, then losing 2 of 3 in Cincy (can't win every series). They go on the take the White Sox / Braves homestand and the Marlins / Mets away run with 4-2 sets each. A 4-3 record at home vs the supposed cream of the NL (Cards and Reds), then a split of the games in ATL to end the month. All in all that's a 17-10 record, which is right on pace for a mid 90s season given this is a home heavy month.
Why do the Reds play at 4PM today? I get that the whole "Reds first" thing is blown by the Opening Night game (not to mention stupid international games when applicable), but at the very least they should open Opening Day at Cincy at say... noon or something, right?
I also really wish SF @ LA was a 10:00 ET start instead of having SEA v OAK and STL v ARI to choose from to watch late at night, but I can't blame any team for having a day game on Opening Day.
Read Boswell today, not because it's his best work or anything, but because Opening Day is made for Boswell.
Any questions? Natsoftheroundtable is the email address. Gmail address to be specific.
I am on twitter. harpergordek for those of you that are into that sort of thing.
Let's get this train going. Strasburg. I'm counting on an Opening Day Perfect Game. Don't let me down.