Nationals Baseball: Monday Quickie - Simulated Max

Monday, March 13, 2017

Monday Quickie - Simulated Max

So Scherzer pitched in a simulated game yesterday. A brief pause here to throw out some definitions.

BP (Batting Practice) - Pitchers throw off the ground at like 2/3rds speed to hitters who take cut after cut. Can help with stamina build up but not much more.
Live BP - Pitchers throw their real stuff off a mound to batters who take cut after cut.

In both BP and Live BP the team can choose what it wants to do defensively. You can have 8 guys in the outfield shagging flies and grabbing grounders that go through an empty infield, or you can set-up your game ready D and let them play each batted ball if it were a real hit.

Simulated Game - A pitcher faces a set of teammates who treat at bats as if they were in the game - 4 balls a walk, 3 strikes an out, etc. It usually is only a small subset of batters - not 9 - who rotate around. Because of that you often don't bother with real runners or real fielders for that matter, and you kind of guess what would have happened which each batted ball. For example Max faced Jose Lobataon, Raudy Read and Wilmer Difo.

Up to this point you are facing your own teammates and thus they might be taking it easy on you or you can tell them to let certain things go by now and again.

"Minor League Game" - The Spring Training equivalent of pitching in the minors. Right now all those minor leaguers are gearing up for the AAA, AA and single A seasons too. They play games just like the major leaguers. You send your major league pitcher over to one of these games and let him throw a few innings. It's real competition, though not major league level and in Spring so... yeah.

Grapefruit/Cactus League Game -  A regular Spring Training game, meaning you'll face at least a few major league starters along with a mix of back-ups and minor leaguers. Again it's Spring so the competition level is low but it's the best you'll get until the last week of Spring when teams start working on getting their actual everyday lineups ready.


Ok we're back.  So reading through those definitions and you can see why a simulated game matters but why it's far from telling in terms of development. What I will allow though is that you can bring back those dreams of Max starting in that first rotation set. It's the bar I had before and he met it. There wasn't a word of negativity from the people watching him and more importantly the next outing is another step in the right direction. I still think personally he'll miss a start or two at least getting fully ready, but it's not impossible as I think it would be if he was still throwing BP.

Next step for Max is as close to real rotation work as he has gotten. Four days off and then a game, a minor league game, but a game. As Castillo points out in the article - the earliest that a "real game" could be would be the 22nd, which would give him 11 days to build up arm strength from what would likely be at most a 4 inning / 50 pitch type outing to major league ready.  That's less time than needed for two starts with regular rest inbetween. That seems tough.  Slotting in at the #5 spot would give him 16 days.  Seems more reasonable.

Catcher Update 

Norris was waived.  Seems like they couldn't find a partner given Norris' contract.  It's not a terrible contract but the market seems to dictate it could be a bit lower. This waiving saves the Nats millions, which cuts into the Wieters money. Keeping Norris is probably the smarter move. Wieters is two years removed from a 75 game season, three years from a 26 game one. Last year was much better. He had an elbow issue that cleared up before the season started and missed a handful of games after fouling a ball off his foot. That's it. But the history is there. However this was always going to happen.

Closer Update

Still can't tell.  Classic closer situation yesterday and Neal Cotts got the save despite Kelley and Treinen not pitching for days.

Clint Update 

See last week. Clint's been used like any other back-up and he's been pretty stinky. Cuts have finally started last week with more today so expect Closer and Clint Updates to be more worthwhile next week maybe.

Anything else? 

Bryce smacked his 5th homer of the Spring. We've talked about it in previous years, how there's some evidence that power break-throughs might in Spring might have meaning in the regular season but the evidence is shaky. I suppose it's better than everything else though where the evidence is non-existant.

At this point you only look for really special cases. Guys who can't do anything or can't make a mistake in a decent amount of at bats. Something more than a series. So you might hear about Solano soon.  Who you will hear about now is Zimm who in 15 ABs still doesn't have a hit.  Also of note is Adam Lind who's struck out 8 times in 22 ABs. Does that matter? I don't know. I'm not worried about Werth (6K in 16) but then again I know Werth.  An up in K rate was an issue for Lind so it's something to keep an eye on but remember last year Espinosa K'd a lot and didn't hit and put up... well not a good year but a year that was pretty much exactly what we'd expect from him. So no reason to think Lind can't do the same.

9 comments:

Chas R said...

I am hopeful Norris clears waivers and they keep him. I think it's "penny-wise, pound-foolish" if they save a few million and have nothing but soft-hitting Loby and unproven Sevy as back-ups.

Zim is still the biggest question mark for the lineup. He's not giving us any good answers and Lind/CRob are not helping with the comfort level at 1B. Rest of the lineup seems like it could be very good.

JE34 said...

Is Lobaton+$3M worth more than Norris-$3M? I know we're talking about backup catcher, but we have seen how not-good Lobaton can be in extended duty. I guess they didn't want to pay for possible upside. Seems nutty to choose Lobaton to me.

Jay said...

I think they let Norris go bc the front office felt it was the right thing to do. Boswell said the same in his chat today. I think Rizzo feels that Norris is starter quality and should have the chance to find an opportunity to find that. It's a novel concept for some Washington teams - treat other people like you would like to be treated.

Harper said...

Chas - he'll clear but they won't get him.

JE34 - Yes if Weiters is healthy, no if he gets injured. It's a gamble but the Nats have a budget.

Jay - Well, what Boz said is that it was always the plan to let him go. It was letting him go now that was the service to him. Gives him time to catch on with other team and work with their players. The other option for the Nats would be holding on to Norris until the very end of Spring (in case of injury) and then cutting him right before the big payday would kick in. Which is still a nice thing, but not the same thing that I think you are getting at

Bjd1207 said...

Yea I'd rather keep Norris, and I think it's just as respectful to say "We're worried about Wieters health, and even in his best case you'll see plenty of action. We want to be a WS caliber team and we think you give us that over Lobaton."

Dunno if he takes it well, but still I think there's a way for the team to keep him and it not be a snub

Anonymous said...

I really like Glover's mound presence. Its not the only thing to look for in a closer, but for such a young talent, he just looks badass.

Anonymous said...

Zimm is now ohfersixteen.

But no big deal, Zimm only needs a couple weeks of ST right?

...I won't start worrying until he is ohferthirty.

If the season were to start today I would have Murphy to 1b and Difo to 2b.

Miles Treacy said...

Is it too early for the Tebow has more hits than Zimm jokes?

Jay said...

I think Murphy would go to first and Drew would play second. I'm very worried about Zim at this point. I watched a couple of his at bats on Sunday and he looks exactly the same. Sets up way off the plate. Can't reach anything on the outer half and hits everything into the ground. He looks done to me. Most likely I'm wrong, but it wasn't pretty Sunday.