Nationals Baseball: Tuesday Quickie - not too little but...

Tuesday, September 03, 2013

Tuesday Quickie - not too little but...

I know you don't want to hear about how the Nats can't make the playoffs. Ok, then tell the Nats to stop losing two at home to the Mets. Your anger is misdirected.

Most of the time 4-2 is a completely acceptable home stand. It seems bad because it started with a 3-0 sweep, but if you go .500 on the road, and win 2 out of 3 at home you're looking at a 94-95 win season. If this were May you'd say "keep on keeping on" and gently glide into the playoffs, maybe even as a #1 seed.

It's not May. It's September, the Nats backs are against the wall and being " generically 95 win good" is not even good enough. They need to be the best team in baseball this month. Simple as that.

Playoff Odds :
BP: 1.2%
CS: 2.3%
FG: 4.1%

Ten game road trip, the absolute minimum they can go is 6-4, but that's probably just treading water or gaining a single game. It would also likely force the Nats into a homestand where they need to lose a game maybe two or find themselves in an impossible situation. 7-3 or 8-2 would at least keep the "win 'em all" calls at bay for another week. They've already lost game one here though so it's going to be very very tough.

One note :
By now you must know that Jayson Werth has been the best hitter in the NL since the All-Star break with a .357 / .444 / .629 line. (just to note how capricious these things can be so you don't expect "Super-Werth" next season, I'll note that the 2nd best hitter in the NL in the same time frame is Wil Venable).  Did you know that Anthony Rendon is among the worst?  .209 / .286 / .299.  Forget having Espinosa around for his D. Maybe these guys should platoon.


NatsVA said...

Over? Did you say over?

It's over.

Now the question becomes, who will be managing the Nats next season since Davey has spent the last quarter of the season in some sort of Breaking Bad "fugue state"?

Strasburger said...

Last nights game was such a brutal loss.

Kenny B. said...

It's over. It's been over since July. Winning is still fun, but the back office is the most interesting place to watch at this point if you're interested in the long game.

Also, +10 to NatsVA for "fugue state" reference.

NatsVA said...

Listen, anytime I can work in a BB reference, I am more than happy to do so.

I know you're an outside observer, but any thoughts on a manager for next season, Harper? Part of me feels like the Nats should stay in house with Knorr, another part of me wants the Nats to go outside the organization. I think Knorr seems like the safe pick, but who knows with Rizzo. It appears that Knorr is already campaigning for job, and who can blame him at this point? Less than a month to go of pretty much meaningless games...

On a side note, I really wish Tito Francona hadn't taken the Indians job. Would have loved to see him in the Curly W next season, and I bet it would have been an attractive opportunity for him.

Dony Sukamti said...

Great new, its so realy sadnees if they loss.. :(