Nationals Baseball: 3 Nats in Top 101 prospects

Wednesday, January 15, 2025

3 Nats in Top 101 prospects

BP put out it's list of the Top 100 + 1 prospects and three Nats made the list

Dylan Crews at #2

Jarlin Susana at #47

Travis Sykora at #59

 I feel like we went over it when Elijah Green was stuck at the bottom of some of the Top 100s but these type of lists are some measure of talent evaluation and some measure of "if we miss out on someone breaking out and someone else has them on their list we're going to look bad". So the trend to evaluate raw talent high over decent production is there. It's not overwhleming but expect that slightly bigger bets to be bumped up a bit while lower bets are downgraded. 

That's one way to not feel bad about who is NOT on the list. Brady House was kicked to the curb.  Does this mean he's no good anymore? No. It's sort of a bet that he's not going to bust out. That ship is sailing away.  I wouldn't say it's gone. He won't be 22 until mid next season. But the guys who know want to see something more. This is definitely not what a team punting 3B wants to see.

Crews at #2 is great to hear. It means the belief he won't bust out is as high as can be.  That is FAR from a given. Any look at previous lists will tell you that. But still teams need players who can contribute and Crews projects to be one.There shouldn't be a real hole in his game. The question is where the bat falls. That he's that high suggests they like the possibility of him of hitting above average and that would make him an overall great player with his defense and speed projections. 

Susana and Sykora are similar type of evaluations. They are young guys with killer stuff that have dominated low minor hitters. You want to put these guys on the list because if they make it to AA next year and dominate then they jump way up. So this is exactly where you want to see your young SP arms. It's still more likely both miss, but it's not that much more likely than one hitting and one hitting, if they can stay healthy, is huge. 

Three prospects on the list would be about in line with expectations. But I think this is a little better than just expected given Wood, another Top 10 guy, graduated to the majors and where these guys lie.  I like players in the top of the Top 10.  I like very young pitchers in that 50 range. This is much better than your top guy being a hitter around 10-15, then having a young toolsy OF around 60 and a older SP arm at 97.  It's a good set-up... for a team in 2026/2027/2028.    

 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Sykora had all the makings of a stud. Excited to see his development over the next couple of years.

@Harper: where do you see Sykora starting out and ultimately finishing the season (assuming he stays healthy)? Start at Wilmington and hopefully getting a midseason call up to Harrisburg? Or do you think they take it slow? He dominated A ball so I’d be surprised to see him start there.