...you only have to be faster than the slowest person running from it.
Or so goes the saying. The Nats have had a disappointing run. They've been the bears next target, eyeing the Nats as it devours the Marlins. Even factoring in the quality of the teams they have been playing 3-11 in the last 14 is straight bad. That's not even a .500 type team. But the NL East has barely moved. The Mets have gone 7-7, the Braves 7-6, the Marlins 6-8. Only the Phillies at 8-4 have made a significant jump and as they were 3 back from the Nats at the start of this slide* they only moved from "could catch Nats" to "Nats could catch them"
The Nats can still hit their 7-2 goal but it means two sweeps. They are certainly capable of it. The teams they are playing are certainly lousy enough. Does the NL East give you hope? Of course! The Mets are more a little bit lucky .500 team. Sure they are .500ish in large part surprise disappointments and injuries but now deGrom is out. The base team available day to day is what it is and that's .500. The Braves might be the best team in the NL East this year but that doesn't mean much and they've lost Acuna. The Phillies are more of a team in a hot stretch than an above .500 team. There's nothing here that worries you EXCEPT the Nats are who they are. They are a below .500 team. That's what they've played like all year. to catch the others they have to at least be .500 and to do that they need something to happen. Soto having his Schwarber moment? The starting pitching just being ok but for a couple months? Something.
The season could have been done by now. If the Mets had just gone 5-2 against the Pirates instead of 3-4 they'd be 50-40 with an 8 game lead and I'd be ready to pack it in. That didn't happen. 6 games though - with these patsies... 5-1, while not what you want, is there, and that almost certainly picks up at least a game keeping you in the two-series distance. It's always relative, but it does feel with these 6 games the Nats need to win win win. They couldn't stem the bleeding, so now they need to get better as fast as they can.
Probables - holding off until we get coinfirmation. Ten days ago the Nats were hoping MAYBE Strasburg or Ross could be lining up for this series. Didn't happen. Now we need to see what they do. I've also heard Rogers may start tonight and coming back from the ASG it could happen so we'll wait.
Bullpen Game? vs Lester?
Rogers? vs
Alcantara vs Fedde?
*You may have forgotten but the Nats were only two games out at that point. (and two games over .500)
9 comments:
With the probables, does it seem like the Marlins are more likely to win 2 out of 4 than the Nats?
The Nats bats seem hot, and the pitching is the opposite right now
Well, the Marlins can pitch but not hit, and they're down Cooper and Chisholm. Meanwhile the Nats have learned to hit even without Schwarber in the lineup, but have forgotten how pitching works. Between the two squads, they have one pretty good baseball team. The movable object meets the resistible force. The fact that we split four against them in Miami seems about right.
I'd say that the Nats have a slightly better chance to win 2 of 3 simply because they're playing at home and the Marlins have stunk on the road.
(Meanwhile, I love the fact that we're less than six hours from game time and ESPN and MLB both list the pitching matchup as a blank.)
Looks like it will be Detwiler vs Lester
Is there an app that gets rid of bud select commercials?
So, i don't want to speak too soon or anything, but it seems like Soto has gotten the issues with his swing worked out
How about Jon Lester with the fire?? 7 innings, 0 runs, 7 strikeouts, no walks, no HRs, 6 hits?
Oh, and he hit his own home run!!!
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